NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e8ae39109197112464a6e86227fca268e5213851f5c930525551000adc49d81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 3,806$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 51c | 2,977$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.55 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 2,607$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.26 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc782…70eabacked Over | 51c | 2,150$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…8e43backed Under | 49c | 2,150$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 47c | 2,021$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 54c | 1,869$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 51c | 1,463$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,267$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 953.54$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.91 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 51c | 932.69$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.02 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 800$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 49c | 661.22$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Over | 51c | 550.69$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.85 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 525.69$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 51c | 367.35$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 28c | 316.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 310$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 265.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.65 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 193.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 51c | 182.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 48c | 145$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 47c | 141$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 50c | 107.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…aa96backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 16c | 94.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…5ca7backed Over | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Over | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…bfb4backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae66backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…46a1backed Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…7d6fbacked Over | 49c | 22.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…1e85backed Under | 52c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5this page
- Clippers vs. HawksClippers won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.