Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc685915a8655b1a175a3c5f1651f9ca971d3d5f1e039122d97471d498671beb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof GamerLegion, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked GamerLegion | 67c | 6,786$4,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,535.28 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakult Brothers | 30c | 3,586$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.25 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked GamerLegion | 45c | 3,313$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.16 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 2,821$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakult Brothers | 46c | 2,814$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.57 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 904.88$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.64 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed GamerLegion | 39c | 842.77$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed GamerLegion | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Yakult Brothers | 50c | 470$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed GamerLegion | 56c | 222$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed GamerLegion | 45c | 213.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Yakult Brothers | 62c | 162.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…4ad7backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 149.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…a6e1backed GamerLegion | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked GamerLegion | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed GamerLegion | 66c | 119.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked GamerLegion | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed GamerLegion | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Yakult Brothers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Yakult Brothers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 94.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…e79bbacked Yakult Brothers | 61c | 86.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…4e5ebacked GamerLegion | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b67…bc49backed GamerLegion | 45c | 72.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked GamerLegion | 68c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Yakult Brothers | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…3de4backed GamerLegion | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed GamerLegion | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d4…b908backed GamerLegion | 46c | 38.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed GamerLegion | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Yakult Brothers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yakult Brothers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)GamerLegion won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.