Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23db065ad3aa25dd05396628c121dc37b3998d1969ea384447fab2b4e8f2f0de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 51c | 2,143$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.9 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed GamerLegion | 47c | 1,912$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.17 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 1,500$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.9 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Yakult Brothers | 56c | 1,294$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.74 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Yakult Brothers | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yakult Brothers | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 772.51$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Yakult Brothers | 23c | 750$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed GamerLegion | 37c | 729.29$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.45 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yakult Brothers | 53c | 647.23$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.74 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed GamerLegion | 39c | 400.74$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.45 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…63bcbacked GamerLegion | 53c | 361.21$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.77 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 293.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yakult Brothers | 61c | 287.47$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.35 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed GamerLegion | 47c | 214.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 210.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed GamerLegion | 48c | 105.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked GamerLegion | 66c | 105$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GamerLegion | 39c | 84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 80.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Yakult Brothers | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…e79bbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 65.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Yakult Brothers | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked GamerLegion | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked GamerLegion | 30c | 38.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Yakult Brothers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…fd5ebacked Yakult Brothers | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked GamerLegion | 77c | 27.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Yakult Brothers | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yakult Brothers | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Yakult Brothers | 63c | 17.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked GamerLegion | 69c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed GamerLegion | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerYakult Brothers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.