Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04e629be9b4a1375e32434450c4486fd66d17637e965e67273365c47e7b90fd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 35c | 989.93$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.73 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b67…bc49backed Yakult Brothers | 67c | 832.85$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakult Brothers | 47c | 797.29$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.88 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked GamerLegion | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed GamerLegion | 36c | 414.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.32 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked GamerLegion | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Yakult Brothers | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked GamerLegion | 25c | 66.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yakult Brothers | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed GamerLegion | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d4…b908backed GamerLegion | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)GamerLegion won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerYakult Brothers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.