NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x424d9a1c3869bf1ee74c8789874eb9b59d02a19bf1211653134a73fdb02ef42c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Golden Knights, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe9…1113backed Golden Knights | 50c | 74,015$36,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,916.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks | 50c | 19,934$9,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,967 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 17,500$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,750 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 50c | 9,800$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.8 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 8,827$4,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,413.57 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 48c | 5,646$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.13 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Blackhawks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.98 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 4,559$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Blackhawks | 52c | 3,993$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.35 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Golden Knights | 49c | 2,528$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.78 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Blackhawks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,891$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.59 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Blackhawks | 51c | 1,269$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.81 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Golden Knights | 51c | 1,146$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.4 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Blackhawks | 52c | 1,091$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.68 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Blackhawks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Blackhawks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blackhawks | 50c | 788.39$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.19 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Golden Knights | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Blackhawks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e74…45aabacked Golden Knights | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Golden Knights | 54c | 388.18$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Golden Knights | 47c | 361.13$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Blackhawks | 56c | 357.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Golden Knights | 47c | 257.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Golden Knights | 49c | 251.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 219.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blackhawks | 50c | 216.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Blackhawks | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Blackhawks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Golden Knights | 47c | 189$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Blackhawks | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Golden Knights | 49c | 120.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Blackhawks | 55c | 115.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Golden Knights | 40c | 114.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Blackhawks | 52c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Blackhawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Blackhawks | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 43c | 77.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 77.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Golden Knights | 51c | 76.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Blackhawks | 59c | 67.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blackhawks | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blackhawks | 52c | 60.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Blackhawks | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Golden Knights | 46c | 50.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x114c…53f4backed Blackhawks | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Blackhawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Blackhawks | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Blackhawks | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Blackhawks | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Blackhawks | 48c | 41.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Blackhawks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Blackhawks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Blackhawks | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Blackhawks | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Blackhawks | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Blackhawks | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 35.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Blackhawks | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Blackhawks | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Blackhawks | 50c | 31.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…13f2backed Golden Knights | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Blackhawks | 50c | 28.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Blackhawks | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…5bedbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 27.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Blackhawks | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Blackhawks | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…eb0abacked Golden Knights | 49c | 25.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Blackhawks | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Blackhawks | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Blackhawks | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Blackhawks | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Blackhawks | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Blackhawks | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Golden Knights | 52c | 23.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…e8a3backed Golden Knights | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…52f2backed Golden Knights | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Golden Knights vs. BlackhawksBlackhawks won
- Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.