Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe103818def118e81d961beab78ee4e4789befa36a0a61a62274de64982952f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oakland Golden Grizzliesof Northern Kentucky Norse, Oakland Golden Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 33c | 4,241$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.52 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 60c | 1,979$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.72 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 66c | 1,478$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.2 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 62c | 949.11$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.69 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 34c | 897.17$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.1 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 40c | 732$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 17c | 729.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 38c | 656.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.65 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 80c | 605.17$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.92 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 17c | 557.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 33c | 524.7$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.45 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 62c | 516.13$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.13 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 65c | 477.59$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 34c | 398.26$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.11 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 60c | 352.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 70c | 289.65$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 24c | 257.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 63c | 248.07$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 40c | 246.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.69 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 43c | 196.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 71c | 141.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 40c | 112$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 39c | 111.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…f122backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 50c | 96.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 69c | 86.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 31c | 81.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 33c | 71.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…57b3backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 71.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 32c | 68.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 39c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 53c | 61.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 68c | 59.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 44c | 57.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 46c | 55.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 63c | 50.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 34c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 40c | 36.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 55c | 29.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 63c | 23.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…217abacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa946…a679backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 65c | 15.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Oakland Golden Grizzliesthis page
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-4.5)Oakland Golden Grizzlies won
- Spread: Oakland Golden Grizzlies (-5.5)Oakland Golden Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.