Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Medjedovic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f7a245a3e5b56758ef011cbb8ecc18efe201501a5112680629aa7e4b1527782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medjedovicof Minaur, Medjedovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Medjedovic | 56c | 499.46$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.84 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Medjedovic | 74c | 427.75$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Minaur | 46c | 424.93$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.18 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Minaur | 46c | 417.38$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.57 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Medjedovic | 55c | 269.15$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.26 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Medjedovic | 60c | 243.02$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Minaur | 46c | 210.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Minaur | 45c | 111.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minaur | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Minaur | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Medjedovic | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd027…cc86backed Minaur | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Medjedovic | 54c | 76.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Medjedovic | 59c | 69.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Minaur | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Minaur | 45c | 62.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Medjedovic | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Minaur | 41c | 49.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Minaur | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…f531backed Minaur | 47c | 37.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…8206backed Medjedovic | 56c | 33.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Minaur | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Minaur | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Medjedovic | 55c | 21.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 203 | 31%63 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Medjedovic (+1.5)this page
- Alex de Minaur vs. Hamad Medjedovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad MedjedovicHamad Medjedovic won
- Minaur vs. Medjedovic: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs MedjedovicMedjedovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.