TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d6f…8206

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT4557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.57
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.9
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.77
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.93
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Fokina (+1.5)backed Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.85
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.96
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$22.33
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.71
Set Handicap: Quevedo (-1.5) vs Williams (+1.5)backed Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.12
Madrid Open, Qualification: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.69
Madrid Open, Qualification: Chris Rodesch vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Set Handicap: Ruiz (-1.5) vs Moeller (+1.5)backed Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.76
Madrid Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.94
Fils vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.15
Moutet vs. Musetti: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Barcelona Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$19.95
Barcelona Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.74
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$57.22
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$30.29
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$58.81
HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. KF Valur: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.