Champions League · resolved market
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a4e2924674553e5ce84a38cdfae26d00348cdf6d5b32e22fe86b87e5c0c8a82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.43 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 1,474$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.51 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Under | 49c | 1,391$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.54 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 1,321$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 1,228$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.96 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 1,206$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.69 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,144$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.47 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 36c | 949.71$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.05 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 35c | 898.4$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Under | 52c | 750.13$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.07 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 51c | 510$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.3 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 51c | 510$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.3 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 51c | 510$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.3 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 436.97$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.01 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 435.41$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.47 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 48c | 279.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 49c | 202.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 50c | 200.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…8206backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 167.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 146.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked Over | 48c | 114.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 108.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…6849backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb6…f3fabacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Over | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 88.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 48c | 79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 75.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 64.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 42c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 52c | 49.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 49c | 45.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Under | 50c | 34.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 49c | 31.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…d0eebacked Over | 51c | 29.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 71c | 28.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 48c | 26.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 51c | 20.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 61c | 20.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…5d80backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5this page
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 0.5Over won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5Over won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Lincoln Red Imps FC (-1.5)Lincoln Red Imps FC won
- Spread: Lincoln Red Imps FC (-2.5)Inter Club d'Escaldes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.