Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Munar (-1.5) vs Stricker (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x346833cb6dd457b49d311bd7cc6005c95500d89d6e07ea5ee0e4a1bec69cc36d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Strickerof Munar, Stricker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59a2…5014backed Munar | 58c | 17,432$10,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,108.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Stricker | 42c | 8,201$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,756.53 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Stricker | 42c | 6,372$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.84 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Munar | 57c | 1,575$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.77 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Stricker | 42c | 953.07$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.77 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Stricker | 42c | 918.83$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.12 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Stricker | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Munar | 58c | 672.41$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Stricker | 44c | 600$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.82 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Stricker | 42c | 412.48$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.24 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Stricker | 42c | 397.79$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.72 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Stricker | 42c | 352.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.38 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Stricker | 46c | 342.85$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…0409backed Munar | 58c | 342.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Stricker | 44c | 333$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.54 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Stricker | 43c | 298.8$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.73 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Stricker | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Munar | 53c | 126.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Stricker | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Stricker | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7d3dbacked Munar | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Stricker | 49c | 94.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed Munar | 56c | 87.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…23ffbacked Stricker | 48c | 78.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Munar | 52c | 77.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Stricker | 45c | 68.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 593 | 47.4%281 W · 312 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Munar | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Munar | 52c | 43.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Munar | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Munar | 55c | 33.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Stricker | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Stricker | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Munar (-1.5) vs Stricker (+1.5)this page
- Dominic Stephan Stricker vs. Jaume Munar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Stricker vs MunarStricker won
- Set 2 Winner: Stricker vs MunarStricker won
- Stricker vs. Munar: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Stricker vs. Munar: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Stricker vs. Munar: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Swiss Open: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume MunarDominic Stephan Stricker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.