Tennis · resolved market
Dominic Stephan Stricker vs. Jaume Munar: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26ae9cab1ecd32fb238efd22a205ef1d7faf734361f435e7e7e12d0474a26477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under 2.5 | 53c | 438.37$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.92 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over 2.5 | 48c | 399.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 182.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Under 2.5 | 44c | 169.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under 2.5 | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over 2.5 | 35c | 147.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over 2.5 | 34c | 146.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 132.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…e15abacked Over 2.5 | 31c | 112.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over 2.5 | 48c | 101.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Under 2.5 | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Over 2.5 | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under 2.5 | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Under 2.5 | 65c | 45.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over 2.5 | 50c | 43.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under 2.5 | 65c | 40.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under 2.5 | 65c | 38.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…8ec9backed Over 2.5 | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under 2.5 | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over 2.5 | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dominic Stephan Stricker vs. Jaume Munar: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Set 1 Winner: Stricker vs MunarStricker won
- Set 2 Winner: Stricker vs MunarStricker won
- Set Handicap: Munar (-1.5) vs Stricker (+1.5)Stricker won
- Stricker vs. Munar: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Stricker vs. Munar: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Stricker vs. Munar: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Swiss Open: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume MunarDominic Stephan Stricker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.