TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76a6…8ec9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$55.63
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$9.39
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$28.42
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.58
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$42.35
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.47
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.14
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.