Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Otto Virtanen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a3d9e9eeddb7f89ceb61f9cc9af204bba8963264e5cb646ce7985e09aeebe3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Otto Virtanenof Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Otto Virtanen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Otto Virtanen | 64c | 10,645$6,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.07 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 35c | 8,228$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Otto Virtanen | 79c | 5,197$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.16 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…ecf1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 19c | 4,995$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.04 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 28c | 4,959$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.48 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Otto Virtanen | 71c | 4,074$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.97 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Otto Virtanen | 76c | 3,949$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.72 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 40c | 3,055$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.48 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…cfe5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 37c | 2,636$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.21 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Otto Virtanen | 76c | 2,496$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.03 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 37c | 2,114$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…a84abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 42c | 2,097$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Otto Virtanen | 78c | 1,866$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.93 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Otto Virtanen | 66c | 1,575$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Otto Virtanen | 63c | 1,430$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.01 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Otto Virtanen | 69c | 1,376$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.53 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Otto Virtanen | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Otto Virtanen | 68c | 1,050$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.37 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 17c | 1,024$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.15 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 59c | 1,015$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.89 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 36c | 1,007$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.31 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 6c | 1,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…8bfdbacked Otto Virtanen | 62c | 974.58$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 30c | 931.11$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.36 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Otto Virtanen | 62c | 812.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.65 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Otto Virtanen | 71c | 801$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.34 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf56…d074backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 24c | 798.87$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 25c | 776.44$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.18 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 25c | 690.45$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 681.94$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.75 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Otto Virtanen | 75c | 650$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 41c | 585.48$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 19c | 584.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Otto Virtanen | 43c | 518.95$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.77 | 172 | 57%98 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 30c | 480.7$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.27 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Otto Virtanen | 74c | 463.76$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.58 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 34c | 426.57$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 38c | 409.8$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.04 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 57c | 402.86$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.21 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Otto Virtanen | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Otto Virtanen | 75c | 360.49$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…69f9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 62c | 349.36$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.42 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa545…ece3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 18c | 327.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 35c | 326.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Otto Virtanen | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Otto Virtanen | 73c | 275.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Otto Virtanen | 63c | 250$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 41c | 243.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 40c | 224.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 36c | 215.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Otto Virtanen | 69c | 203.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…7ef2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 37c | 200.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Otto Virtanen | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Otto Virtanen | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 60c | 195.46$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…af57backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 18c | 192.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Otto Virtanen | 67c | 191.49$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Otto Virtanen | 71c | 181.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…d89abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 29c | 165.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Otto Virtanen | 71c | 165$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Otto Virtanen | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Otto Virtanen | 65c | 156.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…fb48backed Otto Virtanen | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 29c | 153.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 24c | 152$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 27c | 149.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 34c | 148.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 24c | 146.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Otto Virtanen | 66c | 142.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 12c | 137$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 31c | 134.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 35c | 129$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 40c | 125.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…4622backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…c98cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 41c | 122.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Otto Virtanen | 44c | 121.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 283 | 48.1%136 W · 147 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…72f0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 55c | 120.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 17c | 120.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Otto Virtanen | 66c | 118.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 52c | 117.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 449 | 46.1%207 W · 242 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc767…1490backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Otto Virtanen | 68c | 101.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Otto Virtanen | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 25c | 98.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 19c | 88.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Otto Virtanen | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 86.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Otto Virtanen | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…2f33backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 42c | 84.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…abe1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Otto Virtanenthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Kjaer vs VirtanenKjaer won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.