Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38e8c8cbfb6fbb33cf8f268d3d1aa0a724e4d3043f01ac45e438fa98ba2eaeab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 58c | 72,869$42,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,593.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 42c | 51,319$21,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,542.4 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 59c | 24,469$14,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,103.9 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 17,926$7,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,265.77 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 13,087$5,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,706.12 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 4c | 8,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 42c | 7,900$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Yes | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 6,493$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.47 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 3,443$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.97 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 41c | 2,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 41c | 2,024$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed No | 41c | 1,991$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 42c | 1,976$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…91c5backed Yes | 56c | 1,870$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 63c | 1,847$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 41c | 1,829$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 1,461$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.17 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 41c | 1,258$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.05 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 61c | 935.35$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.17 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 71c | 842.88$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.69 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 35c | 827.66$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.55 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 41c | 798.43$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.92 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 41c | 691.71$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.69 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 68c | 690$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 41c | 653.66$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 42c | 617.69$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.33 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 56c | 550$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 53c | 541.75$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.01 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 64c | 533.73$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 51c | 500$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 49c | 497.57$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.76 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 45c | 474$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.02 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 57c | 427.46$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.81 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 427$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.71 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 54c | 400$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 41c | 397.9$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 47c | 375$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 42c | 336.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.42 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 56c | 320$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 46c | 312.5$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 57c | 263.56$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2a…d32bbacked No | 44c | 260$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 10c | 255.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…3cccbacked Yes | 56c | 255$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…f6a6backed No | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa829…d59ebacked Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…7092backed No | 44c | 245$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…3acabacked Yes | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed No | 42c | 236.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…2faebacked Yes | 56c | 230$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf241…5366backed No | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…2a0dbacked No | 44c | 215$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…ad4fbacked Yes | 56c | 209$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad3…a3eebacked Yes | 56c | 208$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…0b6dbacked Yes | 56c | 208$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…7b57backed No | 44c | 207$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…4044backed No | 44c | 206$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…51fbbacked No | 44c | 205$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d7…047bbacked Yes | 56c | 205$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…e95dbacked Yes | 56c | 202$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfd…eb85backed No | 44c | 202$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf9…b77abacked Yes | 56c | 202$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3c…b424backed Yes | 56c | 201$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe0…3718backed No | 44c | 201$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…86c6backed No | 44c | 199$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeeb…ab80backed No | 44c | 198$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d2…fd22backed Yes | 56c | 198$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9979…ce16backed Yes | 56c | 197$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6197…c3b0backed No | 44c | 197$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24a…734bbacked No | 44c | 195$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8d…9db9backed Yes | 56c | 195$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 41c | 192.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 181.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 162$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Yes | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d4…580dbacked Yes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 41c | 124.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 39c | 102.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6378…8404backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 50c | 99.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 61c | 82.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 41c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 65c | 76.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 48c | 74.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 42c | 72.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. SC Preußen Münster end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.