TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

FC Dallas vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$295,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,762 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under41c270,004$110,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159,302.6515647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over59c232,789$137,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,345.6613053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over59c13,475$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,950.292650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over59c7,774$4,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,586.7697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Over59c6,980$4,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,146.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Under41c6,000$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,540862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.97520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c3,018$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.63,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c2,160$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.6687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over48c1,772$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.7547748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over59c1,762$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.4219560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,724$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.0377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under78c1,281$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.721275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under41c1,174$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.9568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over59c1,034$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.061435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59055750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59091553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over59c847$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7321547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under57c779.24$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9278344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under40c743.86$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.319854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over59c704.66$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.7510655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over59c587.24$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.4715458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over59c587.24$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.479458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over59c587.24$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.475250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over59c587.24$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.4712254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over59c587.24$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.474959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over59c587.24$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.4714151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over59c587.24$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.475856.9%33 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Over59c511.86$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under45c504.63$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1458043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2959848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over59c423.71$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.999250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Over59c392$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.282263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over59c392$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.286752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over59c340.16$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.811421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-65.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over59c338.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9922263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1778661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over59c291.67$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c278.92$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4282044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under53c260.44$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4128851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over59c241.73$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8f…f474backed Under44c218$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26fc…0d18backed Over56c207.78$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over24c206.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f17…4bc8backed Over56c206.22$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6836…f2cdbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over59c198.51$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1219052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb58f…8316backed Under44c196$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over59c195.24$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.199452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over59c194.92$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1155942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over31c169.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010250%51 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over59c169.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9924859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over59c169.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.996358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Over59c169.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992544%11 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over59c128$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.522450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b54…fccebacked Over59c127.1$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c125$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7546156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over59c123.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.621758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over54c111$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Over59c98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.823661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over59c97.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.672263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under63c95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.44957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Under53c90.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.532937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under41c85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.152462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7954…665bbacked Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over38c82.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.621936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over48c78.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7925851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4719645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over69c72.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.539234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.510255.9%57 W · 45 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Over59c46.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.692254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207245.8%33 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over69c43.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307955.7%44 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under78c43.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.521266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255757.9%33 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under53c36.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3430957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bd…e640backed Over58c35.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over59c34.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.318652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.628721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Under44c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5382…8d53backed Under40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a14…cab1backed Under66c24.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22dd…f37bbacked Under43c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…768abacked Over58c23.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…df00backed Over57c23.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Under53c21.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.091546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked Under53c20.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd945…fbd1backed Under78c20.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf562…8f25backed Over53c20.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcf…ba89backed Over59c19.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.