CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7b48ac05090d7c5fbe4f08cef9488741b77b123646907b8465eaabde53dba6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked RED Canids | 16c | 26,488$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,238.1 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked RED Canids | 20c | 25,436$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,965.44 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked RED Canids | 17c | 20,024$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370.12 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Vitality | 80c | 14,493$11,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.63 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked RED Canids | 16c | 11,954$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.6 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked RED Canids | 5c | 10,424$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.48 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed RED Canids | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.93 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed RED Canids | 18c | 8,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed RED Canids | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed RED Canids | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked RED Canids | 17c | 4,588$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.98 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked RED Canids | 5c | 4,093$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.67 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked RED Canids | 3c | 4,046$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.91 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed RED Canids | 18c | 3,803$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.53 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed RED Canids | 18c | 3,227$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.79 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed RED Canids | 17c | 3,030$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.69 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed RED Canids | 19c | 2,504$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.7 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed RED Canids | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed RED Canids | 12c | 2,468$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.71 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked RED Canids | 14c | 2,406$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.49 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked RED Canids | 20c | 2,001$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.25 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed RED Canids | 20c | 1,972$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.05 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed RED Canids | 17c | 1,926$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.63 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed RED Canids | 18c | 1,753$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.59 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed RED Canids | 17c | 1,539$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.69 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed RED Canids | 17c | 1,425$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.3 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Vitality | 80c | 1,247$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.48 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e9…be4bbacked Vitality | 80c | 913.9$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked RED Canids | 18c | 885.05$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RED Canids | 19c | 845.68$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed RED Canids | 17c | 752.89$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed RED Canids | 17c | 681.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed RED Canids | 18c | 665.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…c764backed RED Canids | 17c | 636.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Vitality | 80c | 592.8$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked RED Canids | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4af1backed Vitality | 80c | 505.86$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…9819backed RED Canids | 17c | 475.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…b1fabacked RED Canids | 10c | 433.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed RED Canids | 14c | 373.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed RED Canids | 5c | 339.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9d…7a4abacked RED Canids | 19c | 300.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbce…6e3fbacked Vitality | 80c | 296.4$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked RED Canids | 10c | 293.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…7653backed RED Canids | 17c | 291.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Vitality | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Vitality | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Vitality | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed RED Canids | 18c | 214.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -17.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked RED Canids | 16c | 166.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed RED Canids | 19c | 156.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked Vitality | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 215 | 57.2%123 W · 92 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked RED Canids | 9c | 122$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RED Canids | 17c | 111.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked RED Canids | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 204 | 33.8%69 W · 135 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…972ebacked Vitality | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed RED Canids | 18c | 97.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed RED Canids | 18c | 95.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed RED Canids | 17c | 84.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Vitality | 21c | 81.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed RED Canids | 20c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed RED Canids | 20c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed RED Canids | 17c | 59.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked RED Canids | 17c | 58.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…ba0bbacked Vitality | 80c | 41.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.6wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Vitality | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.