CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07d291148f3eae31062f9f9eeb031cbd229949995a243411ea54624d33ce8aac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked RED Canids | 6c | 91,315$5,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,270.63 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed RED Canids | 3c | 15,759$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.23 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked RED Canids | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked RED Canids | 6c | 7,768$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.07 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed RED Canids | 5c | 5,955$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.77 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked RED Canids | 2c | 5,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed RED Canids | 5c | 4,099$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.97 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked RED Canids | 1c | 3,917$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed RED Canids | 5c | 2,232$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…57c7backed RED Canids | 6c | 1,958$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed RED Canids | 3c | 1,280$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked RED Canids | 6c | 1,084$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed RED Canids | 5c | 1,060$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked RED Canids | 3c | 873.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked RED Canids | 3c | 796.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3c…0518backed RED Canids | 1c | 724.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RED Canids | 5c | 692.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed RED Canids | 6c | 660.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed RED Canids | 6c | 607.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed RED Canids | 5c | 528.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked RED Canids | 8c | 394.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed RED Canids | 5c | 282.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Vitality | 76c | 66.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed RED Canids | 25c | 65.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.