CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64ada2b9d3727b98c369fad2fc5947ae8d614cdd12e29c006d9675cfc9876dd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed RED Canids | 2c | 24,732$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.87 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed RED Canids | 7c | 15,546$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.55 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…bbdfbacked RED Canids | 0c | 11,281$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…60f6backed RED Canids | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked RED Canids | 5c | 6,020$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.34 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked RED Canids | 2c | 4,083$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked RED Canids | 9c | 3,834$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.59 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed RED Canids | 8c | 3,752$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed RED Canids | 7c | 3,549$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.09 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed RED Canids | 10c | 3,418$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.64 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked RED Canids | 10c | 2,647$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.66 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked RED Canids | 2c | 2,357$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed RED Canids | 9c | 2,344$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed RED Canids | 6c | 1,399$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed RED Canids | 6c | 1,281$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked RED Canids | 10c | 1,272$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…a92cbacked RED Canids | 1c | 1,254$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked RED Canids | 7c | 1,071$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked RED Canids | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked RED Canids | 11c | 879.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed RED Canids | 2c | 789.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed RED Canids | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…ee90backed RED Canids | 10c | 473.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c0…1f06backed RED Canids | 10c | 331.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed RED Canids | 12c | 254.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked RED Canids | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed RED Canids | 8c | 226.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RED Canids | 5c | 199.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed RED Canids | 16c | 177.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RED Canids | 13c | 153.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked RED Canids | 10c | 140.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked RED Canids | 11c | 98.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed RED Canids | 17c | 67.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.