Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 132.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdc9d41fa7a623e9f91aba0cf83abe5dbbc33f2150d169c3110d12e09dcf92e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,334 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 53c | 20,934$11,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,909.34 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 48c | 20,423$9,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,712.83 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 52c | 2,806$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.07 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,533$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 47c | 1,910$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.83 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 1,157$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 1,055$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.76 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 47c | 1,015$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.21 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 559.08$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.77 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 548.62$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 47c | 423.28$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 366.82$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.64 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…63bbbacked Under | 49c | 199.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 46c | 198.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 48c | 103.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 93.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 73.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Under | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Under | 51c | 46.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Under | 48c | 40.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 40.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 46c | 38.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…30e4backed Under | 48c | 31.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c13…d522backed Over | 55c | 30.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…0970backed Under | 49c | 28.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 51c | 22.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Over | 53c | 20.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Over | 51c | 20.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 132.5this page
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech Bulldogs won
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 131.5Over won
- Spread: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (-1.5)Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won
- Spread: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (-2.5)Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.