TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ATX Open: Yue Yuan vs Ashlyn Krueger

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ashlyn Kruegerof Yue Yuan, Ashlyn Krueger
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Ashlyn Krueger72c4,974$3,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.198,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Ashlyn Krueger57c4,527$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.4229028.3%82 W · 208 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yue Yuan39c3,565$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.017,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Yue Yuan44c3,138$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.63164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yue Yuan39c3,058$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.942,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yue Yuan43c3,025$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.4881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yue Yuan41c2,979$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.36,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Ashlyn Krueger60c2,254$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.8475748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ashlyn Krueger58c2,054$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.884,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Ashlyn Krueger56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.711,12542.8%482 W · 643 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Yue Yuan62c1,604$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5511053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Ashlyn Krueger55c1,006$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.012,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Yue Yuan43c940$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.227733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Ashlyn Krueger59c862.43$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.031,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Ashlyn Krueger78c843.91$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4142358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a8…2587backed Ashlyn Krueger55c727.2$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Yue Yuan30c674.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Ashlyn Krueger63c635.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.711,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed Ashlyn Krueger58c546.82$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.285242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Ashlyn Krueger67c497$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.41,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Yue Yuan46c452.59$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Ashlyn Krueger59c445.17$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.442,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Ashlyn Krueger69c406.32$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.874,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yue Yuan51c392.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yue Yuan44c376.91$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.621,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yue Yuan41c335.19$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.236,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yue Yuan35c272.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.172,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ashlyn Krueger58c223.98$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.071,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yue Yuan47c213.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018932.3%61 W · 128 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Ashlyn Krueger61c212.65$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2112057.5%69 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Yue Yuan48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yue Yuan44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8847057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Ashlyn Krueger58c199.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ashlyn Krueger60c196$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.44,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf3…8bd3backed Yue Yuan46c195.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Ashlyn Krueger77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8184963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Ashlyn Krueger67c182$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.397046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Ashlyn Krueger55c180.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2742046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yue Yuan38c153.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.847,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Ashlyn Krueger67c153.57$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5724060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Ashlyn Krueger55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.524454.9%134 W · 110 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Yue Yuan40c145.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.442,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Ashlyn Krueger59c144.07$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0794549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yue Yuan45c140.64$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.291,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yue Yuan45c133.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Ashlyn Krueger68c130$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1973745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yue Yuan42c125$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Ashlyn Krueger54c121.7$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9853058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Ashlyn Krueger59c118.71$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.671,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Ashlyn Krueger60c117.7$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2993048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Ashlyn Krueger69c108$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1913647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Yue Yuan49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,90444.1%839 W · 1,065 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed Yue Yuan45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Yue Yuan25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yue Yuan34c98.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1857252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yue Yuan41c96.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.444,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Yue Yuan32c93.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yue Yuan45c91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.951,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a4…31f4backed Ashlyn Krueger56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Ashlyn Krueger59c78.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4625957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Yue Yuan27c76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.524148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Ashlyn Krueger61c75.83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6761953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Yue Yuan42c74.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4769051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Yue Yuan50c70.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521957.1%125 W · 94 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yue Yuan32c67.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.313,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Yue Yuan46c65.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016858.9%99 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8a6…ac44backed Ashlyn Krueger56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Ashlyn Krueger54c62.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5312245.1%55 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yue Yuan35c54.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.163,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Ashlyn Krueger55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.552,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0436…f431backed Ashlyn Krueger55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.555650%28 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yue Yuan46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514639%57 W · 89 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc925…67d7backed Ashlyn Krueger56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.574100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Ashlyn Krueger56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224548.9%22 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Ashlyn Krueger56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2212659.5%75 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9f…3544backed Yue Yuan38c49.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e3…40a0backed Ashlyn Krueger57c47.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3911759.8%70 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1986…0cd0backed Yue Yuan25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Ashlyn Krueger53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.824563.3%155 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc72e…656dbacked Ashlyn Krueger56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Yue Yuan33c30.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0221351.6%110 W · 103 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae2…8d89backed Yue Yuan44c27.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.284339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Ashlyn Krueger61c20.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.082560%15 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Ashlyn Krueger55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c21…12bdbacked Ashlyn Krueger60c19.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.761668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.