NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec4f0ef3ceaae6918ae1994a35e80dcf9b0118228ec0a0786e5b896f5d362e77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1c2…da93backed Over | 53c | 23,867$12,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,649.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…e732backed Under | 47c | 23,842$11,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,636.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…6a01backed Under | 47c | 23,467$11,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,437.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…7663backed Over | 53c | 23,442$12,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,424.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 49c | 7,803$3,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.55 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 52c | 7,750$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 2,538$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.74 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 51c | 2,459$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 1,995$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Over | 48c | 1,910$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Over | 52c | 1,242$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed Under | 48c | 1,240$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 1,131$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.61 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 52c | 783$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.16 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Over | 52c | 630.77$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Over | 53c | 472.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.69 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 405$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 331.06$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.08 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 46c | 268.89$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 46c | 217.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 47c | 135.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 52c | 101.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 48c | 96.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked Over | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.2wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5this page
- Devils vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Devils vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.