Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d8610154e522ff5d96b9b8b7be862e4c9227b9e72596b1648ab8878dcc61177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Riverside Highlandersof California-San Diego Tritons, UC Riverside Highlanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $680,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $681,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $680,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed California-San Diego Tritons | 52c | 657,965$342,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342,080.25 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 48c | 407,257$195,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211,773.55 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 48c | 109,308$52,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,840.18 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 50c | 10,049$5,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,006.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed California-San Diego Tritons | 51c | 6,803$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.4 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 49c | 1,992$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 48c | 1,771$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.68 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 50c | 799.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed California-San Diego Tritons | 48c | 650$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 51c | 480.78$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.58 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 50c | 292.38$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…6b37backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 48c | 191.52$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 51c | 188.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 139.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 103.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 51c | 99.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…be5abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 51c | 94.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 51c | 94.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 85.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…9fddbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 32.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 51c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-10.5)this page
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Riverside HighlandersCalifornia-San Diego Tritons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.