MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3b1cfcf347508f3dcfab50d071a140863b972e9248d6a750535b21542719abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 28,833$15,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,361.77 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 14,633$6,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,731.14 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 4,932$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.94 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 4,657$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.07 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 2,168$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.48 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 1,700$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 1,700$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 1,039$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.11 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 894$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.18 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 669$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.1 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 600$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 595$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.15 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 417.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.58 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 392$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 281.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…54bbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 210.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…d3fdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 149.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 53.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…a1c6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Angels vs. BrewersBrewers won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.