CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs SAW (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x065360917b2a269938b3eaa5884db6bbe417477e46041ce16a67301cc55684c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof GamerLegion, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed SAW | 37c | 6,497$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.24 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked GamerLegion | 63c | 6,349$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked SAW | 22c | 4,523$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.53 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed SAW | 29c | 3,066$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.81 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed SAW | 35c | 2,530$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.6 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed GamerLegion | 63c | 2,298$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.54 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed SAW | 33c | 2,081$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.04 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked GamerLegion | 64c | 2,006$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.84 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed SAW | 38c | 2,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed SAW | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.96 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SAW | 30c | 1,098$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.55 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked SAW | 25c | 787.51$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.4 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed GamerLegion | 80c | 700$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked SAW | 35c | 650.77$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked GamerLegion | 63c | 636.6$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.21 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed SAW | 36c | 555$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed GamerLegion | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed GamerLegion | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked GamerLegion | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed SAW | 37c | 491.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.43 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed SAW | 36c | 467$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.88 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed GamerLegion | 71c | 465$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.72 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked GamerLegion | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed SAW | 28c | 444$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.06 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked GamerLegion | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed SAW | 28c | 300$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked SAW | 36c | 298.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.22 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed SAW | 40c | 242.31$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed GamerLegion | 62c | 200.1$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked GamerLegion | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked SAW | 37c | 160$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed GamerLegion | 64c | 128.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…f72fbacked GamerLegion | 77c | 121.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed GamerLegion | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed GamerLegion | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked SAW | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SAW | 31c | 84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked SAW | 16c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked GamerLegion | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed SAW | 38c | 55.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked SAW | 42c | 52.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked GamerLegion | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed SAW | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked GamerLegion | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed GamerLegion | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed GamerLegion | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…01a9backed SAW | 32c | 39.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…8752backed GamerLegion | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed GamerLegion | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked GamerLegion | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GamerLegion | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed GamerLegion | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed GamerLegion | 59c | 19.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed GamerLegion | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.