Champions League · resolved market
Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a794421d591cbc0674845c11a00247b2e07faadc6f5214b9599d9d8fc7ae4ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 28c | 32,450$9,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,245.55 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 73c | 14,800$10,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 72c | 12,918$9,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 73c | 12,606$9,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.85 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 11,649$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.57 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 286 | 43.7%125 W · 161 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 5,550$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.05 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,128$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.29 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 28c | 1,089$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.81 | 401 | 43.4%174 W · 227 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 27c | 1,082$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.14 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 969.22$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.39 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 929.41$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.16 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 72c | 822$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.16 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked No | 75c | 750.67$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.67 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 26c | 677.01$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 73c | 532$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 232 | 47.4%110 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 21c | 526.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 72c | 444.01$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 74c | 384.56$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Yes | 28c | 382.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 17c | 377.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 27c | 375.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 244.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 76c | 236.56$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 79c | 165$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 141$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 26c | 129.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 72c | 110.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed No | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa243…6080backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed No | 65c | 95.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 27c | 89.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 73c | 76.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 74.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…01cbbacked Yes | 27c | 69.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 73c | 67.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 26c | 58.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…e74bbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 55.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 75c | 51.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 42c | 35.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 62c | 28.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 217 | 60.8%132 W · 85 L | +21.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 25.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed No | 72c | 24.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed No | 72c | 22.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…b894backed No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?No won
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-01-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.