CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7c5a7e99a21257f77bdb05aaa788faa37c7286ccce75e1dc3d2ed2f34acd122
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- shimmerof shimmer, MIBR fe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked MIBR fe | 58c | 1,430$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.07 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed MIBR fe | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked shimmer | 51c | 571.18$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.18 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed shimmer | 43c | 539.7$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.86 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MIBR fe | 57c | 366.07$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR fe | 62c | 267.71$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR fe | 52c | 252.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked shimmer | 43c | 223.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked shimmer | 43c | 208.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.96 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed shimmer | 57c | 189$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed shimmer | 44c | 171$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked shimmer | 53c | 155.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked shimmer | 57c | 140.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked shimmer | 36c | 138.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked shimmer | 48c | 137$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked shimmer | 47c | 126.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MIBR fe | 23c | 108.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MIBR fe | 23c | 108.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MIBR fe | 34c | 70.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked MIBR fe | 35c | 55.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked MIBR fe | 76c | 46.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MIBR fe | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed MIBR fe | 47c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked shimmer | 33c | 31.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked shimmer | 36c | 30.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR fe | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed MIBR fe | 57c | 29.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…fe1abacked shimmer | 44c | 27.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked MIBR fe | 60c | 26.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR fe | 55c | 26.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MIBR fe | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked MIBR fe | 62c | 19.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe (BO5) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE PlayoffsMIBR fe won
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 2 WinnerMIBR fe won
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 3 WinnerMIBR fe won
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 4 WinnerMIBR fe won
- Map Handicap: MIBR.F (-1.5) vs shimmer (+1.5)MIBR fe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.