CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ac683149ca78b004758e5cfe6911a34b67819d874ffa5b3308125a5a0dfc863
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBR feof shimmer, MIBR fe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed MIBR fe | 60c | 4,155$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked shimmer | 41c | 3,918$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.93 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed shimmer | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed MIBR fe | 51c | 736.11$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed shimmer | 53c | 420.5$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.88 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked shimmer | 43c | 291.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MIBR fe | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked shimmer | 31c | 262.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked MIBR fe | 61c | 241.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.78 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked MIBR fe | 61c | 240.74$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked shimmer | 50c | 196.4$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked MIBR fe | 71c | 181.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed MIBR fe | 70c | 173$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 222 | 56.8%126 W · 96 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed shimmer | 62c | 167.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked shimmer | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked shimmer | 46c | 149.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked MIBR fe | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked shimmer | 45c | 125.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked shimmer | 49c | 123.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked shimmer | 60c | 119.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed MIBR fe | 39c | 105.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed MIBR fe | 41c | 98.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed shimmer | 49c | 96.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed shimmer | 37c | 86.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed shimmer | 38c | 85.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked shimmer | 50c | 83.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed MIBR fe | 49c | 76.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked shimmer | 33c | 73.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed shimmer | 42c | 62.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed shimmer | 48c | 59.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked shimmer | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked shimmer | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked shimmer | 23c | 43.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…5adcbacked shimmer | 47c | 42.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked shimmer | 65c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked MIBR fe | 39c | 38.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7461…5cc5backed MIBR fe | 58c | 36.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed MIBR fe | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked shimmer | 44c | 35.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked shimmer | 58c | 34.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed shimmer | 59c | 34.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed MIBR fe | 52c | 31.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked shimmer | 62c | 30.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MIBR fe | 67c | 21.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…6a04backed MIBR fe | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MIBR fe | 75c | 17.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe (BO5) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE PlayoffsMIBR fe won
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 1 Winnershimmer won
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 2 WinnerMIBR fe won
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 4 WinnerMIBR fe won
- Map Handicap: MIBR.F (-1.5) vs shimmer (+1.5)MIBR fe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.