CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x356d60a4420dde96f74d408e622f3bf6b078b4de3307fe91603e2a50d2f66587
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBR feof shimmer, MIBR fe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed shimmer | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked shimmer | 51c | 785.97$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.29 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed MIBR fe | 53c | 780.15$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.87 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed MIBR fe | 44c | 641.91$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.31 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MIBR fe | 40c | 462$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.13 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked shimmer | 58c | 389.97$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.05 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked shimmer | 60c | 384.64$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.48 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked shimmer | 61c | 375$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.25 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked shimmer | 59c | 362.15$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.21 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed MIBR fe | 78c | 350.3$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed shimmer | 56c | 349.42$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.12 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed shimmer | 43c | 330.01$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked shimmer | 42c | 297.41$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked shimmer | 57c | 291.76$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.1 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked MIBR fe | 53c | 291.53$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed shimmer | 30c | 251.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MIBR fe | 50c | 248.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.31 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed shimmer | 63c | 214$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked shimmer | 57c | 202.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MIBR fe | 53c | 184.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked shimmer | 55c | 161.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR fe | 34c | 151.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked shimmer | 38c | 147.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked shimmer | 45c | 133.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed shimmer | 41c | 132.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…5adcbacked MIBR fe | 36c | 132.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MIBR fe | 50c | 124.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked shimmer | 49c | 123.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed MIBR fe | 63c | 122.36$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 222 | 56.8%126 W · 96 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked MIBR fe | 28c | 120.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed MIBR fe | 27c | 117.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked shimmer | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed MIBR fe | 39c | 90.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked shimmer | 62c | 81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…b0cabacked MIBR fe | 74c | 69.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed MIBR fe | 30c | 69.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed MIBR fe | 50c | 64.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed MIBR fe | 27c | 64.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked MIBR fe | 31c | 62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR fe | 64c | 61.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked shimmer | 63c | 61.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed MIBR fe | 36c | 57.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked shimmer | 48c | 47.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed MIBR fe | 35c | 46.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked shimmer | 73c | 44.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…498cbacked MIBR fe | 69c | 43.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked MIBR fe | 32c | 41.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…4b4fbacked MIBR fe | 29c | 37.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5575…c56dbacked shimmer | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed MIBR fe | 41c | 31.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked MIBR fe | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed MIBR fe | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked shimmer | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed MIBR fe | 51c | 27.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed shimmer | 73c | 26.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed MIBR fe | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed MIBR fe | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe (BO5) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE PlayoffsMIBR fe won
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 1 Winnershimmer won
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 3 WinnerMIBR fe won
- Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe - Map 4 WinnerMIBR fe won
- Map Handicap: MIBR.F (-1.5) vs shimmer (+1.5)MIBR fe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.