CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2ea6f112f82166dbd601b34c22b29defcbe2fcff4bd3bdc8e5c3faef2c03340
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Entropyof Entropy, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Donstu Esports | 67c | 2,672$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.94 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Donstu Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Entropy | 33c | 729.59$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.86 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Entropy | 41c | 564.03$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.98 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Entropy | 41c | 546.65$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.34 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Entropy | 42c | 429.96$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.39 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Donstu Esports | 11c | 318.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Entropy | 37c | 297.77$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Donstu Esports | 66c | 291.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.06 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Entropy | 45c | 240$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Entropy | 34c | 218.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Donstu Esports | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 210$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked Entropy | 55c | 201.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Donstu Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 37.8%163 W · 268 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Entropy | 44c | 186.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.12 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Entropy | 55c | 157.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Entropy | 43c | 121.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Donstu Esports | 52c | 115.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…24fabacked Entropy | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Entropy | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Donstu Esports | 38c | 76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Entropy | 34c | 69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Donstu Esports | 21c | 63.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 690 | 41.9%289 W · 401 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Donstu Esports | 67c | 53.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Entropy | 30c | 47.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Donstu Esports | 42c | 45.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Donstu Esports | 67c | 41.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -13.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Entropy | 34c | 39.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Entropy | 39c | 38.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Entropy | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Donstu Esports | 67c | 31.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Entropy | 72c | 30.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…a398backed Donstu Esports | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Donstu Esports | 44c | 23.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group CEntropy won
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerDonstu Esports won
- Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5)Entropy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.