CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b52b026d35ed7f98998eb79fa1dc427d2119fec8edf8c9c2928a9d8d2e7c2a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof Entropy, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Donstu Esports | 63c | 2,620$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.84 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed Entropy | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Donstu Esports | 55c | 834.99$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.75 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Entropy | 37c | 648.66$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.09 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Entropy | 40c | 579.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.65 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Entropy | 37c | 448$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.65 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Entropy | 40c | 405.48$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Entropy | 39c | 361$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Entropy | 35c | 279$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Donstu Esports | 57c | 263.27$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Donstu Esports | 61c | 235.61$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Donstu Esports | 77c | 186.35$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Entropy | 40c | 136.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed Entropy | 16c | 128.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Entropy | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Donstu Esports | 63c | 94.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Entropy | 18c | 90.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Donstu Esports | 79c | 63.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Entropy | 25c | 48.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 40.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Donstu Esports | 60c | 34.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Donstu Esports | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed Donstu Esports | 57c | 18.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group CEntropy won
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerEntropy won
- Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5)Entropy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.