CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs SAW - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92c987c3ccfe01d51e00d86b9abb0a7d7fa1dcecbaa5e21d2b4b36d81348f136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Academyof Inner Circle Academy, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25c2…7458backed SAW | 6c | 3,337$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed SAW | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Academy | 78c | 626.79$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Inner Circle Academy | 67c | 599.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.33 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked SAW | 15c | 502.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed SAW | 29c | 400$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed SAW | 14c | 399.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Inner Circle Academy | 65c | 389.96$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.96 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Inner Circle Academy | 71c | 365.41$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Inner Circle Academy | 74c | 365.21$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.11 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Inner Circle Academy | 55c | 363.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.74 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked SAW | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked SAW | 14c | 268.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Inner Circle Academy | 65c | 230$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Inner Circle Academy | 61c | 222.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Inner Circle Academy | 72c | 204.28$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SAW | 35c | 199.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SAW | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle Academy | 73c | 166.15$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked Inner Circle Academy | 65c | 154.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 58 | 82.8%48 W · 10 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SAW | 38c | 142.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed SAW | 28c | 108.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SAW | 35c | 102.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked SAW | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Inner Circle Academy | 77c | 81.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Inner Circle Academy | 62c | 77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Inner Circle Academy | 78c | 71.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SAW | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Inner Circle Academy | 70c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed SAW | 38c | 55.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SAW | 38c | 41.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked SAW | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Inner Circle Academy | 61c | 32.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SAW | 36c | 30.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Inner Circle Academy | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Inner Circle Academy | 62c | 17.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs SAW - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs SAW (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group DInner Circle Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs SAW - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.