MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0f34685a60d1a848944dda5cb60321a6d8589f6d0e46cad442e6c4eaf6fb70e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 23c | 3,171$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.71 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 1,854$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.24 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 1,264$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 35c | 719.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 705.19$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 65c | 547.14$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 64c | 516.74$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.03 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 36c | 307.69$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Under | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 34c | 295.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 35c | 278.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 71c | 234.46$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Over | 38c | 224.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 14c | 201.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…650bbacked Over | 36c | 139.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 34c | 118$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 33c | 116.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 30c | 113.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 23c | 94.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 65c | 91.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 85.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 32c | 83.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 79c | 70.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 73c | 54.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 64c | 48.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 34c | 37.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e4…56ecbacked Over | 32c | 36.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 80c | 36.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 73c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Under | 68c | 31.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 79c | 31.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…750cbacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 78c | 22.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…c459backed Under | 68c | 21.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Under | 77c | 16.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…4943backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.