MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39ea5eca373ee20e3da1bf5f7d91893a7287c0702c308588da19964ff8813bba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 48c | 3,875$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.1 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 52c | 3,196$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.92 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 50c | 2,908$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.16 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 2,381$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.76 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 18c | 1,924$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.72 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 55c | 1,541$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.52 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 1,052$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.02 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 850.42$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.43 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 782.3$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.68 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 659.98$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.35 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Over | 45c | 639.05$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 610.16$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.08 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 25c | 527.65$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 503.57$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.48 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 376.06$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…a634backed Under | 51c | 359.69$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 47c | 218$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 44c | 200.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Under | 53c | 198.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 53c | 162.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 77c | 160.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 51c | 152.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 35c | 120.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Under | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 49c | 105.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 51c | 105.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over | 50c | 101.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 36c | 100.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 33c | 91.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Over | 32c | 82.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 57c | 81.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 29c | 81.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Over | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 60c | 66.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 38c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 62c | 60.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 57c | 52.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed Under | 51c | 47.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…b100backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 52c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 303 | 50.8%154 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 44c | 31.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 41c | 30.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 49c | 29.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 66c | 29.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 42c | 24.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 66c | 22.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York MetsColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.