MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9351a24589a4a854a97cab261c6b852dbf08188aeadb4ebd2d62e046d00b783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof New York Mets, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 8,246$4,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.57 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked New York Mets | 49c | 5,783$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.59 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed New York Mets | 46c | 3,473$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.49 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 2,260$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.25 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked New York Mets | 47c | 2,033$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.61 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,787$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.67 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Mets | 39c | 1,692$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.94 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 1,202$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.78 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked New York Mets | 43c | 1,191$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.83 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked New York Mets | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 1,079$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 736.97$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.75 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 539.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Mets | 48c | 370.9$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies | 59c | 369.24$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed New York Mets | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 20c | 287.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed New York Mets | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed New York Mets | 48c | 200.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed New York Mets | 8c | 177.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed New York Mets | 47c | 156$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 146.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado Rockies | 70c | 136.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 67c | 131.57$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 46c | 130.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 129.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed New York Mets | 47c | 120.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked New York Mets | 40c | 109.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed New York Mets | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed New York Mets | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 96.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 96.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed New York Mets | 16c | 94.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 30c | 92.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 87.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 87.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 81.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe249…86fabacked New York Mets | 48c | 78.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 77.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…2be2backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 75.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 69.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed New York Mets | 39c | 64.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 47c | 63.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 62.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed New York Mets | 35c | 54.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed New York Mets | 48c | 51.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed New York Mets | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Mets | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked New York Mets | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed New York Mets | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…4e5bbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 47.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets | 47c | 46.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 45.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked New York Mets | 46c | 41.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked New York Mets | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 34.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed New York Mets | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed New York Mets | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 29.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 29.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked New York Mets | 47c | 28.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 25.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 19.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York MetsColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.