TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$920,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$562,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $920,044 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1cfc…b8e0backed Yes0c77,320$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.28156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes0c31,253$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.76521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-70.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf9ac…1eebbacked Yes0c25,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75220%0 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes0c24,745$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7423319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…1f66backed Yes0c18,859$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.86100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes0c16,744$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50258%2 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fe…7061backed Yes0c13,900$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes0c13,077$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.21350%0 W · 35 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a2…169bbacked Yes0c12,689$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.26240%0 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a62…8b90backed Yes0c12,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2230%0 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfa…b205backed Yes0c11,500$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500b…17c5backed Yes0c11,014$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.29240%0 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8d…0002backed Yes0c10,774$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.77240%0 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf218…61babacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3441…3283backed Yes0c9,965$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.06250%0 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes0c9,950$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c5…1127backed Yes0c9,800$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4230%0 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c9,470$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.97478.5%4 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-67.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eda…1c80backed Yes0c9,200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa172…e6d8backed Yes0c8,500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5458…0b85backed Yes0c8,404$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcdb…83cabacked Yes0c7,750$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dbe…d681backed Yes0c7,500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24190%0 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8175…b96cbacked Yes0c7,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15200%0 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1be6…19c8backed Yes0c6,976$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb236…ca07backed Yes0c6,925$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf975…5c51backed Yes0c6,601$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7190%0 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb654…602bbacked Yes0c6,170$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92230%0 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes0c6,159$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6440%0 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…9cf5backed Yes0c5,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe920…3a14backed Yes0c5,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa949…e7bebacked Yes0c5,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe11…990bbacked Yes0c5,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18190%0 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6402…a05bbacked Yes0c5,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes0c5,411$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1511412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4e4…faf1backed Yes0c5,100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24e9…f300backed Yes1c5,095$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf397…2354backed Yes0c3,567$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbef…dfa0backed Yes0c3,250$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1290%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8646…ed78backed Yes1c2,936$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb094…bf7fbacked Yes0c2,800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-65.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x093c…5491backed Yes1c2,737$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcabf…14a6backed Yes1c2,574$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff5…d07abacked Yes1c2,563$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x356f…47f7backed Yes1c2,539$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c2,508$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.05430%0 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbf…7cc5backed Yes1c2,404$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes6c2,010$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6671.5%1 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-94%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bc…bd1bbacked Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes1c1,798$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22442.3%1 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-82.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,199$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.762953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c1,065$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.29392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-69.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0231…45d0backed Yes3c978.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.73829.8%8 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-68.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes5c576.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.61010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes3c457.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54150%0 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef4…a917backed Yes15c231.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c28…9844backed Yes7c153$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.