Bundesliga · resolved market

Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-04-11?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13bc2e1e4b5c155b1c287363b2ad13a6c606dcb994534d9be17441eca3356ac5

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,617 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe2bb…ea55backed No	56c	4,300$2,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,891.94	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes	30c	3,168$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.14	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Yes	44c	1,933$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850.43	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	69c	1,477$1,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.29	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes	46c	1,345$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.29	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-3.1wins	-0.34per pick	45cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	68c	914.59$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.49	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No	56c	486.8$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.19	240	50.4%121 W · 119 L	+18.5wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No	64c	482.42$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.42	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No	54c	464.72$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.77	386	46.9%181 W · 205 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes	40c	400$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes	19c	275.64$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.61	245	41.6%102 W · 143 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	54c	265$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.55	420	46.4%195 W · 225 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	41c	254.37$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.45	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	44c	250$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	481	46.4%223 W · 258 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	44c	250$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	496	47.4%235 W · 261 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No	76c	211.59$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.72	208	45.7%95 W · 113 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No	54c	209.78$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.5	330	47.3%156 W · 174 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes	45c	191.75$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.44	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	52c	164.61$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.53	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes	46c	137.33$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.17	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes	44c	136.75$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.17	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Yes	37c	130.03$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.11	50	66%33 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes	47c	111.24$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.28	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes	18c	109.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-5.4wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-6.2wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x581a…8e5fbacked No	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	43c	82.42$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.77	636	45.1%287 W · 349 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0165…2281backed No	66c	82$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.88	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes	39c	79.64$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.35	398	57.5%229 W · 169 L	+20.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No	76c	73.9$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.06	177	49.7%88 W · 89 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No	76c	73.9$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.06	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	61c	68.17$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.53	817	32.8%268 W · 549 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes	35c	65.9$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.06	105	32.4%34 W · 71 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes	44c	65.89$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.99	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No	76c	54.76$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.39	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-7.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No	76c	54.76$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.39	205	48.3%99 W · 106 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes	44c	54.55$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No	55c	53.07$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.88	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes	44c	52.2$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.97	213	55.4%118 W · 95 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Yes	45c	49.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes	44c	48.8$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.47	123	46.3%57 W · 66 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes	44c	48.8$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.47	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	44c	48.37$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	569	51.8%295 W · 274 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes	44c	42.96$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes	44c	42.96$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes	44c	42.96$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes	46c	41.61$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.14	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes	30c	37.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.05	288	22.6%65 W · 223 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes	44c	37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.28	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Yes	35c	36.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Yes	44c	32.95$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes	44c	31.89$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-4.2wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Yes	46c	31.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef9c…7b3fbacked No	65c	30.8$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.78	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+23%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e82…2821backed Yes	41c	30.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	36cpaid	+47.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes	44c	28.51$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No	57c	26.49$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.39	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-6.6wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes	44c	25.76$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes	44c	25.61$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No	76c	23.47$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.74	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No	58c	23.02$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.67	64	70.3%45 W · 19 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-04-11?this page
Will SC Preußen Münster vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth end in a draw?Yes won
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-04-11?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-04-11?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event