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La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Getafe CFof Levante UD, Getafe CF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,009
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,009 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Levante UD16c39,995$6,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,398.215726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Levante UD10c5,626$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.631330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Levante UD13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-91.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Levante UD13c417.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.343534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+76.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e83…af81backed Levante UD12c413.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Levante UD6c314.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.879423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Levante UD12c169.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6e…326cbacked Levante UD16c89.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.241241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Levante UD12c86.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.425738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+10.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Getafe CF58c18.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.947740.9%195 W · 282 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Getafe CF80c13.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.681,67443.9%735 W · 939 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.