South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08049446770ad51f241132f14a87efbf7b565dbf5c06c5f965d858e2beb296e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 20c | 8,365$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,993$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.64 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 2,864$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.5 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 80c | 1,417$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.37 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 57c | 623.49$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.39 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 524.76$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.38 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…ab1fbacked Yes | 42c | 356.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 317.77$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.2 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 303$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 38c | 286.11$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 80c | 259.23$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 41c | 233.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 80c | 197.6$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 61c | 165.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 80c | 135.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 80c | 132.15$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed No | 51c | 114.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 54c | 108.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 56c | 102.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 38c | 101.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 51c | 96.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 59c | 82.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 79c | 73.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 70.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 80c | 69.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 80c | 62.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 65c | 59.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…2b18backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 60c | 48.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed No | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 42c | 43.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 49c | 43.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 80c | 43.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 58c | 27.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 51c | 26.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 80c | 24.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.