South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92b2eadceb0f7b46a020db64c374f5b21fb6dcba805c89858cab416fce3d9365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 733.07$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.59 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 68c | 653.02$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.17 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 57c | 570.85$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.38 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 35c | 549.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 545.75$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.96 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 442.96$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.82 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 410.73$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 403.4$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.04 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 40c | 337.4$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…1532backed Over | 43c | 202.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 201.83$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 161.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 24c | 161$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 60c | 156.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 13c | 154.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 62c | 152.19$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 51c | 148.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 36c | 133.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5259…d384backed Over | 27c | 124.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 56c | 117.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 55c | 92.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 40c | 90.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 46c | 81.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 74.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 64c | 69.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 46c | 63.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Under | 62c | 44.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 59c | 44.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Over | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 66c | 29.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Under | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 26.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 69c | 18.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 59c | 17.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…f7e2backed Under | 67c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.