Europa Conference League · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06df9706744ced5d88c65fefc8baea4ca0572c10cd4aea3a9ec8070f1012b051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 42c | 9,156$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.11 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 5,293$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.26 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.88 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked No | 58c | 3,354$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 32c | 1,060$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.27 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 58c | 987.4$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.71 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 64c | 816.87$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.03 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 59c | 800$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 64c | 795.83$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.39 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 67c | 503.47$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 60c | 446.48$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 59c | 404.8$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.77 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 403.83$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.21 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed No | 65c | 380.84$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 40c | 362.77$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 58c | 315$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 64c | 301.41$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 40c | 299.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 263.25$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 58c | 226$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 211$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 59c | 210.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 89.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Yes | 39c | 78.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 35c | 77.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 59c | 62.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked No | 62c | 49.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…5704backed Yes | 34c | 45.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 59c | 43.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 59c | 27.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…42d1backed No | 61c | 17.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo leading at halftime?this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: Draw at halftime?No won
- SC Freiburg leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.