TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,249 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99f0…9495backed Under7c2,537$166 inWon+$2,370.0428532.3%92 W · 193 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under60c1,239$739 inWon+$499.8512139.7%48 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c1,162$577 inLost-$576.582,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Over50c795.69$401 inLost-$400.64944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over70c515.25$361 inLost-$360.685156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under7c500$35 inWon+$46535751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under59c458.9$271 inWon+$187.734852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over45c300$135 inLost-$1355444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under55c278.67$152 inWon+$126.6912849.2%63 W · 65 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under7c244.32$17 inWon+$227.221,10149.7%547 W · 554 L+3.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under12c210.77$26 inWon+$184.691,30656.9%743 W · 563 L+67.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under33c197.9$65 inWon+$132.599441.5%39 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c9…1e01backed Over67c197.9$133 inLost-$132.59366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under8c189.14$15 inWon+$174.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+150.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over37c152.15$56 inLost-$55.971,02241.5%424 W · 598 L-33.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under69c108$74 inWon+$33.59875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under38c102$39 inWon+$63.243652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed Under58c81.05$47 inWon+$33.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over30c80$24 inLost-$2426052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over47c78$37 inLost-$36.6136142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over50c68.39$34 inLost-$3425742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Over70c56.89$40 inLost-$39.981030%3 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick60cpaid-57.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over44c56.48$25 inLost-$2510140.6%41 W · 60 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under55c52.8$29 inWon+$23.6726336.5%96 W · 167 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under45c50.11$23 inWon+$27.411346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inLost-$206431.3%20 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over52c46.41$24 inLost-$24.331850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x323f…a511backed Over62c40$25 inLost-$24.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x301d…81a5backed Under56c26.8$15 inWon+$11.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over62c25$16 inLost-$15.6243452.1%226 W · 208 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.