TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Daejeon Hana Citizen FCof Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC, Daejeon Hana Citizen FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,294 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac47…d234backed Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC22c10,120$2,226 inLost-$2,226.362035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Daejeon Hana Citizen FC78c4,940$3,853 inWon+$1,086.731,31956.7%748 W · 571 L+64.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC76c2,193$1,667 inWon+$526.3113746.7%64 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Daejeon Hana Citizen FC78c1,657$1,301 inWon+$356.739649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC78c1,142$891 inWon+$251.1838849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC17c1,006$171 inLost-$1714226.2%11 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC76c467.61$356 inWon+$112.075,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC78c448.95$352 inWon+$97.136841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC24c366.67$88 inLost-$8814037.1%52 W · 88 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC76c366.67$279 inWon+$881,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC76c329.02$250 inWon+$78.966051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC76c324.25$246 inWon+$77.8211145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC79c245.35$194 inWon+$51.6835751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC23c156.76$36 inLost-$36.3915352.9%81 W · 72 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC17c146.85$24 inLost-$24.491,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC77c142$109 inWon+$32.571,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC23c133.92$31 inLost-$31.411,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC23c130.43$30 inLost-$306038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb109…d40fbacked Daejeon Hana Citizen FC78c128.21$100 inWon+$28.21887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+55.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC22c99.96$22 inLost-$21.9954746.8%256 W · 291 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC77c72.53$56 inWon+$16.684647.8%22 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC22c69$15 inLost-$15.1820256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3b…8f52backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC78c64.1$50 inWon+$14.11844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Daejeon Hana Citizen FC76c47.94$37 inWon+$11.425369.8%37 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC76c35.34$27 inWon+$8.482766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC75c30.44$23 inWon+$7.6154354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC78c23.63$18 inWon+$5.29851%50 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC76c16.79$13 inWon+$3.9832060%192 W · 128 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC76c16.63$13 inWon+$3.9930731.9%98 W · 209 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC76c16.42$12 inWon+$3.942462.5%15 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.