TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,218 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x664e…e82abacked Under72c1,384$1,000 inWon+$383.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over26c1,279$339 inLost-$338.792,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over33c606.06$200 inLost-$2004226.2%11 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under67c522.03$350 inWon+$172.271,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over20c144$29 inLost-$29.1258542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under68c125$85 inWon+$4010158.4%59 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under67c99.99$67 inWon+$3353946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under68c67.22$46 inWon+$21.511,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under68c63.98$44 inWon+$20.471,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Over32c62.5$20 inLost-$205648.2%27 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb13b…5f1abacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost-$203432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c57.35$18 inLost-$18.355,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x850f…b208backed Over32c49.99$16 inLost-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under68c41.47$28 inWon+$13.271758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.