Fifa International · resolved market
Alexander Isak: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b67cad662483e9a0a08eb1ea3d8474de10a37480e95748cb9936ba710a1cc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 71c | 5,591$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.02 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4362…9e47backed Yes | 29c | 3,447$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 70c | 3,171$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.54 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1d…d900backed Yes | 29c | 2,169$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 29c | 1,922$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.33 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 71c | 1,907$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.62 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,709$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 71c | 1,145$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.19 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,138$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.92 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacb…ccc7backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 71c | 999.96$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 829.73$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.94 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 530.1$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.73 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 29c | 348.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 72c | 335.16$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…f90dbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 310.79$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 72c | 299.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 27c | 279.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 67c | 234.79$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Yes | 31c | 206.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed Yes | 17c | 179.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes | 29c | 168.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 29c | 163.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 28c | 138.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…d80ebacked Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 71c | 105.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…6f97backed Yes | 27c | 105.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e19…eccabacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb37e…6e64backed Yes | 27c | 89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…e2ebbacked Yes | 28c | 87.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Yes | 29c | 86.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…3daebacked Yes | 29c | 83.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 190 | 31.6%60 W · 130 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…2cbfbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…4f95backed Yes | 29c | 67.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8dbebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…9277backed Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…6872backed No | 73c | 64.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9666…2830backed Yes | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedb…9cc9backed Yes | 33c | 61.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…7750backed Yes | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…e14fbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…36b1backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 72c | 52.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a0…081bbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 71c | 48.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 25c | 45.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 71c | 38.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 69c | 35.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…8327backed Yes | 29c | 34.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…8275backed No | 74c | 27.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 133 | 64.7%86 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 71c | 26.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed No | 75c | 17.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 17.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked No | 73c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alexander Isak: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Isak: 1+ assistsYes won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 3+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 3+ shotsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ goalsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ shotsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 3+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ assistsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ goalsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ shotsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goalsYes won
- Crysencio Summerville: 3+ goalsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Denzel Dumfries: 1+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 1+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 3+ shotsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gustaf Nilsson: 3+ goalsNo won
- Justin Kluivert: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 1+ goalsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 3+ goalsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Noa Lang: 3+ goalsNo won
- Noa Lang: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ryan Gravenberch: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 2+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 2+ shotsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shotsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shotsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 3+ goalsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Yasin Ayari: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.