Fifa International · resolved market
Donyell Malen: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3443826ec31f6841fe1af5975ce3a8965ba4f86c88a1c856e1e6251c40f950b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 67c | 999.96$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 66c | 429.05$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.19 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…ed31backed Yes | 33c | 402$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 33c | 393.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…4e9abacked Yes | 34c | 273.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 36c | 256.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 63c | 235.06$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 71c | 98.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbf…8d1ebacked Yes | 33c | 96.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…3783backed Yes | 33c | 74.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb339…5844backed Yes | 36c | 67.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421c…6fa3backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…419fbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 65c | 33.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Donyell Malen: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Isak: 1+ assistsYes won
- Alexander Isak: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 3+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 3+ shotsNo won
- Alexander Isak: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 1+ goalsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ goalsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 2+ shotsYes won
- Brian Brobbey: 3+ goalsNo won
- Brian Brobbey: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ assistsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 2+ goalsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ shotsYes won
- Cody Gakpo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goalsYes won
- Crysencio Summerville: 3+ goalsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Denzel Dumfries: 1+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 3+ goalsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 3+ shotsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gustaf Nilsson: 3+ goalsNo won
- Justin Kluivert: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 1+ goalsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 3+ goalsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Noa Lang: 3+ goalsNo won
- Noa Lang: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ryan Gravenberch: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 2+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 2+ shotsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tijjani Reijnders: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shotsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shotsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 3+ goalsNo won
- Wout Weghorst: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Yasin Ayari: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.