NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cdfe897a4b04875a6ed580082c4b00b7c80c627adbde851ece3f52da3a70d8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Kings, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 13c | 15,050$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,143 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Wizards | 29c | 12,103$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,565.85 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Kings | 23c | 9,421$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.72 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Kings | 65c | 9,287$6,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,036.85 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Wizards | 12c | 8,688$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,645.8 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 55c | 7,667$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.5 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kings | 20c | 6,967$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.34 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Kings | 63c | 6,300$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.03 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Wizards | 12c | 5,918$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,207.7 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Kings | 56c | 5,368$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.26 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 12c | 4,620$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.94 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wizards | 56c | 3,533$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.7 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Kings | 33c | 2,994$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 28c | 2,786$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kings | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wizards | 12c | 2,055$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.76 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Kings | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Wizards | 12c | 1,974$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Wizards | 45c | 1,700$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Wizards | 38c | 1,563$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.53 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…2e12backed Wizards | 13c | 1,496$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kings | 27c | 1,346$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.01 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Kings | 55c | 1,340$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.98 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Kings | 62c | 1,284$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Kings | 65c | 1,239$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Wizards | 25c | 1,181$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.73 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Wizards | 11c | 1,083$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.87 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wizards | 23c | 1,043$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.31 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 74c | 1,032$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.29 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Wizards | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 53c | 961.46$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.03 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Wizards | 16c | 946.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.81 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 5c | 894.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards | 11c | 842.14$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.67 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…3ee3backed Wizards | 13c | 784.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Wizards | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Wizards | 56c | 721.17$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.62 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Wizards | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Wizards | 76c | 683.21$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.17 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…ff2dbacked Wizards | 14c | 550$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…1b67backed Wizards | 14c | 495.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.25 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Wizards | 13c | 487.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.88 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 44c | 471.83$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.99 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Kings | 61c | 466.25$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Kings | 31c | 440$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…4e55backed Wizards | 45c | 425$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…3febbacked Kings | 76c | 400$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.08 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…f54cbacked Wizards | 28c | 359.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Wizards | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Wizards | 30c | 325$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Kings | 31c | 301.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Kings | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Kings | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Wizards | 13c | 285.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…52afbacked Wizards | 14c | 271.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +183.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Wizards | 45c | 230.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.04 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Kings | 19c | 230$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Wizards | 12c | 216.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Wizards | 39c | 214.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Wizards | 48c | 206.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Wizards | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Wizards | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Wizards | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Wizards | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…627cbacked Wizards | 14c | 192.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +673.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Wizards | 76c | 187.96$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Wizards | 12c | 179.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…af2ebacked Wizards | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Wizards | 14c | 156$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Wizards | 13c | 155.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings | 43c | 145.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Wizards | 12c | 143.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b1…3738backed Wizards | 12c | 111.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…f2d9backed Wizards | 14c | 107.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…f950backed Wizards | 15c | 100.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Wizards | 47c | 100.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Wizards | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Wizards | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251c…c148backed Wizards | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Wizards | 15c | 98.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Wizards | 12c | 88.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Kings | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…639bbacked Wizards | 14c | 85.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Wizards | 42c | 84.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Wizards | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Kings | 32c | 70.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Wizards | 22c | 67.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Kings | 68c | 61.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…ae06backed Wizards | 71c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed Wizards | 76c | 52.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…279dbacked Wizards | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Wizards | 24c | 45.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…32f5backed Wizards | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…8b5cbacked Wizards | 45c | 41.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…88d0backed Wizards | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.