NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe677e1f2e75ef720b494d6338a90a18e973cb7684c3b64feca1b3346d6f365f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Hornets, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Hornets | 11c | 36,770$3,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.31 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Hornets | 1c | 21,952$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 10c | 15,045$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.46 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets | 2c | 11,320$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.15 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Hornets | 11c | 8,964$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.38 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Hornets | 9c | 7,259$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.75 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets | 10c | 5,680$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.81 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hornets | 9c | 5,329$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Hornets | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hornets | 10c | 3,735$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.45 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 1c | 3,150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Hornets | 8c | 2,467$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Hornets | 10c | 2,009$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Hornets | 5c | 1,833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Hornets | 1c | 1,350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Hornets | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Hornets | 10c | 1,300$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.19 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Hornets | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Hornets | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Hornets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Hornets | 10c | 999.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Hornets | 10c | 957.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Hornets | 6c | 946.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Hornets | 3c | 930$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…4e88backed Hornets | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Hornets | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…1e74backed Hornets | 11c | 811.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Hornets | 8c | 805$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Hornets | 8c | 757.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Hornets | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…a8ebbacked Hornets | 11c | 560$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Hornets | 10c | 511.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Hornets | 14c | 500.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Hornets | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…8eb3backed Hornets | 3c | 399.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hornets | 11c | 376.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Hornets | 10c | 333.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Hornets | 10c | 302.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Hornets | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Hornets | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hornets | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Hornets | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Hornets | 11c | 296.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hornets | 7c | 281$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5d…2b89backed Hornets | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Hornets | 11c | 245.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…1e8abacked Hornets | 9c | 232.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Hornets | 10c | 231.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Hornets | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Hornets | 8c | 190.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Hornets | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…af2ebacked Hornets | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…40b7backed Hornets | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Hornets | 10c | 146.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 11c | 123.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3530…7f2fbacked Hornets | 10c | 111.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Hornets | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…f057backed Hornets | 10c | 108.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…1c25backed Hornets | 10c | 103.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Hornets | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Hornets | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Hornets | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Hornets | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Hornets | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…64d3backed Hornets | 11c | 99.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.