Movies · resolved market
Will 'Snow White' gross between 44-49m on opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d2fa23965dc6b4556fb2c0f27c8d042293dc41e1438cd1c79e654d562cd8ee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 39c | 8,873$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.41 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked Yes | 17c | 6,299$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.01 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 32c | 6,222$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.76 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Yes | 57c | 5,784$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.91 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed Yes | 39c | 4,392$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.4 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…ee52backed Yes | 2c | 2,996$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed Yes | 22c | 2,858$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.66 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 5c | 2,699$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed Yes | 22c | 2,341$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.42 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…f99ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,147$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 2,118$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 24c | 1,874$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.44 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 1,858$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.33 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…6e7bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,740$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 4c | 1,530$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…c691backed Yes | 3c | 1,479$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,430$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f03…1794backed Yes | 3c | 1,305$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Yes | 19c | 1,259$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.3 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…ee7ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,201$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 6c | 1,147$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 128 | 6.3%8 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 79c | 1,053$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.1 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 21c | 999.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.76 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 945.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 35c | 916.91$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.43 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 4c | 889.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 27c | 832.16$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.58 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 29c | 813.15$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.49 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…c475backed Yes | 14c | 810$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked Yes | 3c | 800.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 33c | 783.02$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.33 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9de…d8c1backed Yes | 4c | 711$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 66c | 700$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 668.27$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0e…b3f3backed Yes | 2c | 645$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d78…5b09backed Yes | 4c | 627.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x109d…f1ddbacked Yes | 75c | 611.93$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +541.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 21c | 582$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…f15bbacked Yes | 6c | 561.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d0…fbf2backed Yes | 3c | 543.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9a…ea13backed Yes | 72c | 519.45$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 27c | 517$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…9664backed Yes | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 24c | 500$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…5871backed Yes | 3c | 482.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 23c | 475.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…6df2backed Yes | 39c | 472.51$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…66b3backed Yes | 7c | 450$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 64c | 437.05$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.2 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 23c | 416.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…2ebdbacked Yes | 4c | 408$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked Yes | 5c | 407.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…7191backed Yes | 4c | 407$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 29c | 406.64$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 19c | 400$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…1800backed Yes | 4c | 387$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3575…8249backed Yes | 4c | 342$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…67b1backed Yes | 4c | 330.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked No | 21c | 288.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 27c | 285.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.92 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 78c | 284.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff2f…b07ebacked Yes | 5c | 278.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaa…fd78backed Yes | 75c | 267.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 21c | 254$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 6c | 253.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…84efbacked Yes | 23c | 250$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…812fbacked Yes | 19c | 246.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 75c | 243.42$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed Yes | 41c | 208.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b527backed Yes | 5c | 200.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2d…46abbacked Yes | 9c | 199.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…c736backed Yes | 63c | 185$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 54c | 175.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…b1bebacked Yes | 28c | 175.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 26c | 148.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…3c70backed Yes | 14c | 140.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c26…9a9bbacked Yes | 10c | 114.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…ccdabacked Yes | 27c | 111.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…cbf7backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…60aebacked Yes | 20c | 97.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 88.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 36c | 82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 17c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…c8f0backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…6173backed No | 46c | 40.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…1478backed Yes | 61c | 30.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 29.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…78fabacked Yes | 61c | 27.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcc…aa70backed No | 44c | 27.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…a093backed Yes | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…1a48backed Yes | 68c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…3c07backed Yes | 61c | 20.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…92c0backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…7566backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Snow White' gross between 44-49m on opening weekend?this page
- Will 'Snow White' gross between 34-39m on opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?Yes won
- Will 'Snow White' gross less than 34m on opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.