Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Angers SCO vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcea2307665be6b502c02db0274f28719dff55a274b334771d29bfb674c1567c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 70c | 5,507$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,013$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.64 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 31c | 1,952$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 76c | 1,743$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 15c | 993.44$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 905.26$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 749.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.39 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 538.25$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 502$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 30c | 383$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 8c | 357.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 7c | 339$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 4c | 332.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 16c | 331.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 6c | 299.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 79c | 197.39$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 24c | 161$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 31c | 135.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 29c | 90.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Angers SCO vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?this page
- Will Angers SCO win on 2025-12-12?Yes won
- Will FC Nantes win on 2025-12-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.