Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1bc71d704cd05c39c24f77370377e1728670a760d0f270a59b36f514b06dc9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 15,317$8,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,070.3 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Yes | 67c | 10,912$7,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,310.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 17c | 9,500$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.88 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 31c | 2,930$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.67 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 1,999$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.52 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 28c | 1,771$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.96 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 18c | 1,672$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 77c | 1,552$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 72c | 1,196$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 35c | 1,154$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.54 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 28c | 1,146$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.48 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 26c | 851.83$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.66 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 27c | 828.31$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.43 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 57c | 806.85$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.34 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 4c | 709.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 66c | 694.41$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.31 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Yes | 73c | 685.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 71c | 666.19$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked No | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 28c | 489.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.1 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 65c | 459.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 67c | 446.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 52c | 383.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 294.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 70c | 289$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 71c | 280.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 249.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.99 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 30c | 249.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.7 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 30c | 249.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 29c | 244.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 68c | 236.04$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 48c | 218.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 7c | 208.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 28c | 200.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.82 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 33c | 152.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 70c | 149.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 74c | 135.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 134.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 71c | 126.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…237dbacked Yes | 40c | 125.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…d7d7backed Yes | 40c | 125.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 30c | 119.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Yes | 72c | 111.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes | 70c | 98.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 30c | 97.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 53c | 88.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 30c | 85.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…f958backed Yes | 20c | 81.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed No | 36c | 76.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 37c | 75.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 28c | 73.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 48.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 22c | 48.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 35c | 46.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 27c | 45.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 42c | 45.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 70c | 44.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 28c | 44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…c7f1backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 29c | 40.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 28c | 40.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e8…907dbacked Yes | 38c | 38.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…ab3ebacked Yes | 65c | 34.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 40c | 32.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 55c | 26.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Yes | 71c | 22.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…bf13backed Yes | 71c | 21.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 71cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes | 71c | 21.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…4368backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed Yes | 72c | 20.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 74c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 76c | 18.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Hannover 96 vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth end in a draw?No won
- Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.